» Gay Marriage Predictns: Then and Now Dean Omar F. A. Gutiérrez

Contents:

• HERE'S HOW 9 PREDICTNS ABOUT GAY MARRIAGE TURNED OUT
• THE END OF GAYS: GAY MARRIAGE AND THE DECLE OF THE HOMOSEXUAL POPULATN
• 4 CRAZY GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS THAT NEVER CAME {LOR:#515150;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:NORMAL;MARG-BOTTOM:0.625REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.0625REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.3125REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.3125REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}} A{-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:0.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:#FF3A30;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:#000000;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;} A:HOVER{LOR:#595959;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;}IT'S TIME TO TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF PREDICTNS AND SEE IF ANY HAVE E TO {LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;MARG-BOTTOM:0.625REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}} SPAN{FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:PALIZE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}{LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-STYLE:NORMAL;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TEXT-STROKE:0.005REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}{LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TEXT-STROKE:0.005REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}BY {-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:0.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:HER;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:HER;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;}{LOR:#595959;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;}JSIE {DISPLAY:LE-BLOCK;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;MARG-LEFT:0.625REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}PUBLISHED: FEB 11, {DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;}{DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;POSN:RELATIVE;MARG-TOP:0.9375REM;}{BACKGROUND-LOR:#FF3A30;LOR:#000000;BORR:TH SOLID #FF3A30;DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;PADDG:0.625REM 1.25REM;MARG-TOP:0REM;MARG-BOTTOM:0REM;-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:NONE;TEXT-RATN:NONE;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;PADDG-TOP:0.85REM;BACKGROUND:#FF3A30;BORR-RADI:2REM;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;LETTER-SPACG:0.04REM;WIDTH:TO;}{BACKGROUND-LOR:#FFFFFF;LOR:#000;CURSOR:POTER;BORR:TH SOLID #FF3A30;} SVG{FILL:#000000;} SVG>PATH{FILL:#000000;}{MARG-LEFT:1REM;}{OUTLE:0.125REM DOTTED #000000;OUTLE-OFFSET:0.2REM;} SVG{FILL:#000000;} SVG>PATH{FILL:#000000;}{WIDTH:1REM;HEIGHT:1REM;MARG-RIGHT:0.625REM;} PATH{FILL:#FFFFFF;} PATH{FILL:#FFFFFF;}SAVE {WIDTH:160PX;TEXT-ALIGN:LEFT;LOR:#595959;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-SIZE:0.70284REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.1;FONT-WEIGHT:NORMAL;LETTER-SPACG:0.045REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:NONE;}{DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;}{MARG-BOTTOM:0.9375REM;POSN:RELATIVE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 64REM){{MAX-WIDTH:LC(100VW - (1REM * 2));MARG-LEFT:1REM;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;} .E152U5OS0{WIDTH:100VW;MARG-LEFT:LC(-1 * 1REM);}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 61.25REM){{MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;} .E152U5OS0{WIDTH:100VW;MARG-LEFT:LC((100VW - (LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM) - 2 * 1REM)) / -2);}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 61.25REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 90REM){{MAX-WIDTH:LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM);MARG-LEFT:LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM) - 1REM - 20.625REM) / 2);PADDG-LEFT:1REM;PADDG-RIGHT:1REM;} .E152U5OS0{WIDTH:100VW;MARG-LEFT:LC(LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM) - 1REM - 20.625REM) / -2) - 1REM);}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 90REM){{MARG-LEFT:LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM)) / 2);MAX-WIDTH:LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM);PADDG-LEFT:1REM;PADDG-RIGHT:1REM;} .E152U5OS0{WIDTH:100VW;MARG-LEFT:LC(LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 + 1REM)) / -2) - LC(2 * 1REM));}[DATA-HAS-SPONSOR] {MARG-LEFT:LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM)) / 4);MARG-RIGHT:LC((100VW - LC(20.625REM * 2 - 1REM)) / 4);}}{JTIFY-SELF:CENTER;POSN:RELATIVE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{MARG-LEFT:-50VW;MARG-RIGHT:-50VW;WIDTH:100VW;LEFT:50%;RIGHT:50%;}}{HEIGHT:TO;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{MARG:TO LC(50% - 50VW);}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{MARG:TO;}}{POSN:RELATIVE;HEIGHT:TO;}{POSN:RELATIVE;WIDTH:100%;HEIGHT:100%;OBJECT-F:VER;VERTIL-ALIGN:TOP;}{LE-HEIGHT:1;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 73.75REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0.9375REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0;}}{LOR:#595959;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70028REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70028REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN {FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-SIZE:1.1875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.6;PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;POSN:RELATIVE;}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{PADDG-LEFT:3.5REM;PADDG-RIGHT:3.5REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 61.25REM){{MAX-WIDTH:45.25REM;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 61.25REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 73.75REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 100REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 90REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}} EM{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-STYLE:ALIC;} STRONG{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:BOLD;}{CLEAR:BOTH;NTENT:" ";DISPLAY:BLOCK;FONT-SIZE:0.7REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.5REM;HEIGHT:0REM;VISIBILY:HIDN;}{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-SIZE:1.1875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.6;} EM{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-STYLE:ALIC;} STRONG{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:BOLD;}SUPPORT FOR SAME-SEX MARRIAGE ON THE FERAL LEVEL TIPPED TO MAJORY OPN LAST YEAR. THE SHIFT HAS LED TO UNTRYWI POLICY CHANG LIKE ATTORNEY GENERAL ERIC HOLR'S {-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:#FF3A30;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:HER;-WEBK-TRANSN:BACKGROUND 0.4S;TRANSN:BACKGROUND 0.4S;BACKGROUND:LEAR-GRADIENT(#FFFFFF, #FFFFFF 50%, #D5DBE3 50%, #D5DBE3);-WEBK-BACKGROUND-SIZE:100% 200%;BACKGROUND-SIZE:100% 200%;}{LOR:#000000;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;-WEBK-BACKGROUND-POSN:100% 100%;BACKGROUND-POSN:100% 100%;}ANNOUNCEMENT ON SATURDAY THAT THE DEPARTMENT OF JTICE WOULD EXTEND MANY LEGAL RIGHTS TO SAME-SEX SPO, REGARDLS OF WHETHER OR NOT THEY RI A STATE THAT REGNIZ THEIR UNN AS LEGIMATE. BUT THE EVOLUTN OF OUR NATNAL NSCNS HASN'T PREVENTED SOME STNCH NSERVATIV OM PREACHG THE END TIM SHOULD WE ALLOW GAY MARRIAGE TO PASS.IN 2012, RABBI NOSON LEER OF TORAH JEWS FOR DECENCY LLED HURRINE SANDY A "DIVE JTICE" FOR NEW YORK'S MARRIAGE EQUALY ACT. AND ACROSS THE POND, COUNCILLOR DAVID SILVTER OF THE U.K. INPENNCE PARTY RECENTLY WROTE TO HIS LOL NEWSPAPER: "SCE THE PASSAGE OF THE MARRIAGE (SAME-SEX COUPL) ACT, THE NATN HAS BEEN BET BY SER STORMS AND FLOODS." BUT HASN'T JT BEEN THE RISG OF THE WATERS AND THE G OF WDS -- TASTROPHIC PREDICTNS ON HOW SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL AFFECT SOCIETY HAVE RANGED OM LORFULLY MENTED TO SIDLY MUNDANE WH MORE OR LS DUB NNECTNS TO REALY. GIVEN THAT GAY MARRIAGE HAS NOW PASSED 17 STAT AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA OVER THE PAST 10 YEARS, PERHAPS 'S TIME TO TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE PREDICTNS AND SEE IF ANY HAVE E TO UN. (SPOILER ALERT: THE WORLD HASN'T E TO AN END YET.){--DATA-EMBED-DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;MARG-BOTTOM:0.9375REM;}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 20REM){{CLEAR:BOTH;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;WIDTH:100%;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 30REM){{CLEAR:BOTH;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;WIDTH:100%;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 73.75REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 75REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 90REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}} A SPAN{RIGHT:1REM;} IMG{WIDTH:TO;HEIGHT:85VH;} A{DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-LE-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:LE-FLEX;POSN:VAR(--POSN, RELATIVE);} IMG:NOT(.EWCW41W1){DISPLAY:BLOCK;WIDTH:100%;HEIGHT:TO;-WEBK-ALIGN-SELF:FLEX-START;-MS-FLEX-EM-ALIGN:FLEX-START;ALIGN-SELF:FLEX-START;}{WIDTH:100%;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-LE-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:LE-FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;}{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;}{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;LE-HEIGHT:1;}MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: SEN. TED CZ (R-TEXAS)THE PREDICTION: SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL LEAD TO SOCIALIST LE AND SUPREME LOYALTY TO THE ERNMENT."SOCIALISM REQUIR THAT ERNMENT BE YOUR GOD. THAT'S WHY THEY HAVE TO STROY THE NCEPT OF GOD. THEY HAVE TO STROY ALL LOYALTI EXCEPT LOYALTY TO THE ERNMENT. THAT'S WHAT'S BEHD HOMOSEXUAL MARRIAGE. IT'S REALLY MORE ABOUT THE STCTN OF THE TRADNAL FAY THAN ABOUT EXALTG HOMOSEXUALY, BEE YOU NEED TO STROY, ALSO, LOYALTY TO THE FAY." (2013)AND NOW: DEMOCRATIC EEDOM -- OUR ABILY TO EXIST DISAGREEMENT WHOUT FEAR OF PERSECUTN -- SLOWLY GROWS STRONGER AS THE ERNMENT STOPS TRYG TO DICTATE WHO PEOPLE CHOOSE TO LOVE.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: SEN. RAND PL (R-KY.)THE PREDICTION: WHOUT PRCRIBED SOCIAL BOUNDARI, SOME AMERINS WILL ATTEMPT TO MARRY ANIMALS AND POSSIBLY PLANTS."IF WE HAVE NO LAWS ON THIS PEOPLE TAKE TO ONE EXTENSN FURTHER. DO HAVE TO BE HUMANS?" (2013)AND NOW: REALIZG HIS BLUNR, PL RETRACTED THE QUOTE LATER THAT DAY, SAYG THAT HE BELIEVED MARRIAGE WOULD REMA BETWEEN TWO HUMANS. A MUCH WISER PREDICTN. IN THE PAST 10 YEARS, THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF AMERINS MANDG THE RIGHT TO MARRY AN ANIMAL. NOR HAS THERE HAS BEEN ATTEMPTED LEGISLATN TO FACILATE HUMAN/NON-HUMAN MARRIAG.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: BRIAN BROWN, PRINT OF THE NATNAL ORGANIZATN FOR MARRIAGETHE PREDICTION: SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL MAKE THE ENOMY EVEN WORSE."ON TOP OF THE CREDIBLE SOCIAL DAMAGE ED BY REFG MARRIAGE, GAY MARRIAGE WILL PLACE A SIGNIFINT ENOMIC BURN ON STGGLG STAT." (2013)AND NOW: WH THE FIRST YEAR THAT NEW YORK STATE PASSED GAY MARRIAGE, SAME-SEX WEDDGS AND LICENSE FE BOOSTED NEW YORK CY'S ENOMY BY $259 LN. AND LAST YEAR, MORE THAN 60 MAJOR PANI CLUDG APPLE, MAN STANLEY, AND NIKE WROTE AN AMIC BRIEF FOR PROPOSN 8, CLAIMG THAT THE LAW CREATED A DISADVANTAGE FOR PANI STAT WHOUT MARRIAGE EQUALY, BEE BS STGGLED TO REC TOP EMPLOYE WHO DIDN'T WANT TO LIVE STAT WHERE THEY WERE NSIRED SEND-CLASS CIZENS.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: FORMER REP. TODD AK (R- MO.)
• MY 3 GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS HAPPENED TODAY – BY TANA HOY
• GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS: THEN AND NOW
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• BEWARE THE EARLY PREDICTNS SUPREME COURT GAY MARRIAGE CASSAME-SEX CASESAFTER THE OBAMARE BACLE, DON’T READ TOO MUCH TO THE GAY MARRIAGE ORAL ARGUMENTS, WARNS ADAM WKLER.ADAM WKLERUPDATED JUL. 12, 2017 12:17AM EDT / PUBLISHED MAR. 26, 2013 5:45AM EDT NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/GETTYIN ARTHURIAN LEGEND, THE SORCERS MAN LE FAY LURED SAILORS TO THEIR ATH BY G MAGIC TO CREATE FALSE YET ALLURG IMAG OF FAIRY STL OUT AT SEA. SHE WAS SAID TO BE PABLE OF ENTICG EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SHIP PTA TO VEER OM HIS URSE AND MEET AN UNTIMELY END. HER MIRAG OFFER A VALUABLE LSON FOR PROGNOSTITORS AND LEGAL MENTATORS WEIGHG EVERY WORD SPOKEN BY THE JTIC THE SUPREME COURT HEARGS OVER GAY MARRIAGE THIS WEEK. ORAL ARGUMENT N BE A WDOW TO THE URT AND S LIBERATNS. JTIC HOSTILE TO A LAWYER’S ARGUMENT OFTEN REVEAL THEIR DISAGREEMENT THROUGH PERATG—SOMETIM VASTATG—QUTNS, WHILE A IENDLY JTICE N OFFER A STGGLG ADVOTE A HELPG HAND. COURT WATCHERS EAGER TO GET AN EARLY LEAD ON HOW THE JTIC WILL CI THE MOST IMPORTANT QUTNS OF THE DAY LOOK TO THE HTS, ANALYZG EACH CHANGE TONE AND EXPRSN OF TRATN.EVEN BEFORE THE BEGNG OF THE MARRIAGE HEARGS, PEOPLE HAVE BEEN READG THE CLU. ON MONDAY, REPORTS CIRCULATED THAT THE LBIAN OF CHIEF JTICE JOHN ROBERTS WAS ATTENDG ONE OF THE ARGUMENTS AS HIS GUT. WAS THIS IS A SIGN THAT ROBERTS WILL LE FAVOR OF GAY RIGHTS? THE WAS HOPEFUL: “I BELIEVE HE SE WHERE THE TI IS GOG,” SHE SAID. “I ABSOLUTELY TST THAT HE WILL GO A GOOD DIRECTN.”THE PUBLIC UALLY LOOKS TO EXPERTS FOR SUCH GLIMPS OF THE FUTURE. THE PHENOMENON IS HARDLY UNIQUE TO HIGH-PROFILE S. ESPN THRIV AS THE WELLSPRG OF PREDICTNS FOR HOW TODAY’S BIG SPORTG EVENT WILL TURN OUT. FROM THE SUPREME COURT TO THE SUPER BOWL, EVERYONE WANTS TO KNOW WHAT’S GOG TO HAPPEN; FOR MANY, ’S EVEN MORE IMPORTANT THAN WATCHG THE GAME SELF. YET UNLIKE A SPORTG EVENT, WHOSE OUTE IS OPEN FOR ALL TO SEE THE MOMENT THE GAME IS OVER, SUPREME COURT ARGUMENTS NCLU WH NO EDIFITN. THE JTIC WILL RETIRE BEHD THE RED VELVET CURTA AND ST THEIR VOT SECRET, THOUGH EVEN THEN THE OUTE IS UNCERTA. JTIC ARE ALLOWED TO CHANGE THEIR VOT ANYTIME BEFORE THE WRTEN OPN THE SE IS RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC—AND THEY OFTEN DO. THE URT’S SWG JTICE, ANTHONY KENNEDY, ONCE VOTED TO EFFECTIVELY OVERTURN ROE V. WA BEFORE CHANGG HIS VOTE AND SAVG THAT LANDMARK CISN ON WOMEN’S RIGHTS. GAY MARRIAGE IS A SIAR TYPE OF ISSUE: HOTLY NTROVERSIAL, PROFOUNDLY NTTED, AND ONE THAT MAY SHAPE A JTICE’S LEGACY.BEE THE SUPREME COURT IS THE TIGHTT SHIP TOWN—LEAKS ARE NEARLY UNHEARD OF, PECIALLY BEFORE A CISN IS OFFICIALLY HAND DOWN—ANYONE WANTG TO KNOW HOW THE URT WILL LE HAS LTLE MORE THAN ORAL ARGUMENT TO RELY UPON. YET ORAL ARGUMENT THE SUPREME COURT N BE AS MISLEADG AS THE SORCERS’S MIRAGE. LIKE A SAILOR SURROUND BY THE VAST EMPTS OF THE SEA, URT WATCHERS MAY FD THEIR SIRE TO KNOW HAS LED THEM A PERILO DIRECTN. ONE NEED ONLY ASK NOTED SUPREME COURT EXPERT JEFEY TOOB.IT WAS A YEAR AGO THIS WEEK THAT THE JTIC HEARD ARGUMENTS OVER THE NSTUTNALY OF OBAMARE, THE LAST TIME THE PUBLIC WAS HANGG ON EVERY WORD UTTERED THE HALLOWED SUPREME COURT. SOLICOR GENERAL DONALD VERRILLI, FENDG THE HEALTH-RE LAW, STGGLED WH HIS OPENG REMARKS AND, MANY WAYS, HIS PRENTATN SEEMED TO GO DOWNHILL OM THERE. JTICE AFTER JTICE ASKED QUTNS THAT SUGGTED THEY DIDN’T AGREE WH VERRILLI’S ARGUMENTS. TOOB WENT ON CNN AND PREDICTED THAT OBAMARE WOULD BE VALIDATED. “THIS WAS A TRA WRECK FOR THE OBAMA ADMISTRATN,” TOOB SAID. THE LAW, HE SAID, WAS “GRAVE, GRAVE TROUBLE.”WE ALL KNOW HOW THAT SE ME OUT.IN FAIRNS TO TOOB, HIS NCLN WAS BASED ON THE STATEMENTS AND QUTNS OF THE JTIC THEMSELV. A MAJORY OF THEM DID APPEAR TO BE LED UP AGAST OBAMARE AND SKEPTIL OF THE SOLICOR GENERAL’S CLAIMS. GIVEN THE EVINCE AT HAND, TOOB’S PREDICTN WAS A PERFECTLY REASONABLE ONE. PREDICTNS ON INTRA AGREED WH TOOB, AND UP TO 80 PERCENT WERE BETTG THE LAW WOULD BE STCK DOWN.THAT’S EXACTLY WHY WE SHOULD BE UT PREDICTG HOW THE URT WILL LE BASED ON ORAL ARGUMENT. THE JTIC ARE NOT PERFORMG FOR THE PUBLIC, AND SIGNALG TO THE PUBLIC HOW THEY WILL LE IS FURTHT OM THEIR MDS. THEY ARE ENGAGED A TAILED TELLECTUAL EXPLORATN OF OFTEN AMBIGUO LAW, ALG WH THE MOST PLITED ISSU. INED, THEY MAY BE TRYG TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO LE THEMSELV, SEARCHG FOR AN ANSWER RATHER THAN RMG THE ADVOT OF THEIR ALREADY MA-UP MDS.ON THE ONE HAND, SUPREME COURT PREDICTNS MAY JT BE A HARMLS LAWYER’S PASTIME. THE PREDICTNS DON’T AFFECT THE JTIC THEMSELV, AND THE LIGANTS WHO ULTIMATELY W DON’T RECEIVE ANY LS A REMEDY. YET THERE N BE ADVERSE NSEQUENC. THE FACT THAT SO MANY EXPERTS LIKE TOOB WERE SAYG OBAMARE WAS GOG DOWN PROBABLY HELPED SPUR CNN AND FOX NEWS TO JUMP THE GUN ON THE DAY THE CISN WAS FALLY ANNOUNCED—WH EMBARRASSG RULTS.SO AS WE READ ABOUT THE SUPREME COURT’S HEARGS THE GAY MARRIAGE S THIS WEEK, BEWARE OF BEG LED ASTRAY BY THE EVABLE MENTARY PICKG APART THE JTIC’ EVERY WORD. STILL, LIKE THE SAILORS SAID TO FALL FOR MAN LE FAY’S MIRAG, WE MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO HELP OURSELV. ADAM WKLER

HERE'S HOW 9 PREDICTNS ABOUT GAY MARRIAGE TURNED OUT

Gay marriage succeed bee no one uld intify any plsible channels through which might damage heterosexual marriage; wh polygamy, the worri are many, the history clear, and the channels well unrstood. ” I’ve always believed that cultural nservativ misunrstood the gay-marriage movement: far om beg an attack on the culture of marriage, reprented a shift back toward fay valu by a group that had learned the hard way, through evictn by their own parents and sufferg the AIDS crisis, how important marriage and mment and fay really are. ” I supported same-sex marriage for many reasons: s msage of legal and civic equaly; s promise of support and stabily for gay upl and their kids; s potential to broan and universalize the culture of marriage; and more.

Last week marked the seventh anniversary of the Supreme Court's landmark lg that legalized same-sex marriage across Ameri, overridg bans more than a dozen stat and grantg gay and lbian wedd upl the same rights and legal protectns that married heterosexuals enjoy. The Amerin Amy of Child & Adolcent Psychiatry affirmed a 2013 study that "current rearch shows that children wh gay and lbian parents do not differ om children wh heterosexual parents their emotnal velopment or their relatnships wh peers and adults. The vast majory of scientific studi that have directly pared lbian and gay parents wh heterosexual parents have nsistently shown that the same-sex upl are as f and pable parents as heterosexual upl, and that their children are jt as psychologilly healthy and well adjted.

The Supreme Court will hear arguments this week on two s related to same-sex marriage, the first volvg a California referendum that barred gay marriage, the other volvg a feral law that prevents the ernment om regnizg same-sex unns. The chart below documents natnal polls on same-sex marriage sce 1996, as acrdg to (It exclus polls that offer a three-way choice between same-sex marriage, civil unns, and no legal regnn for gay and lbian upl, focg on those that require a bary choice.

THE END OF GAYS: GAY MARRIAGE AND THE DECLE OF THE HOMOSEXUAL POPULATN

Yet this is precisely what I predict will happen over the very long urse of natural selectn should the societal-level normalizatn of adult homosexual relatnships, such as is happeng currently wh the triumphant legalizatn of gay marriage my new home state of New York, ntu happily on s way.

) Not so very long ago, the ncept of “gay marriage” was so far om beg a legal possibily s leral sense that most listeners would have probably terpreted this phrase to mean a closeted gay man married to a woman, or a lbian to a man. In one extensive study 1978, for example, rearchers Alan Bell and Mart Weberg, factorg ethnic differenc, found that 35 percent of gay whe mal, and 13 percent of gay black mal, reported havg been married to a woman.

) Still, many studi have sce examed the psychologil experienc of those who acknowledge beg mixed-orientatn marriag—cludg motivatns to enter to such a marriage to beg wh, ternalized homophobia, self-awarens and acceptance, relig iology, experimentg wh open relatnships, and so on—om the perspective of the homosexual as well as om that of the heterosexual spoe. One tertg sex difference, reported 1985 by Universy of Mnota psychologist Eli Coleman, is that lbians tend to marry men at younger ag (mean age of 21) than did gay men marryg women (mean age of 24). And for our purpos, the most relevant fdgs for the qutn we started off wh—which is whether the creasg public support for gay marriage will lead, ironilly, to the eventual cle of the homosexual populatn—is the fact that most homosexuals mixed-orientatn marriag have had at least one child wh their spoe.

4 CRAZY GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS THAT NEVER CAME {LOR:#515150;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:NORMAL;MARG-BOTTOM:0.625REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.0625REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.3125REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:1.3125REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}} A{-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:0.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:#FF3A30;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:#000000;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;} A:HOVER{LOR:#595959;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;}IT'S TIME TO TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF PREDICTNS AND SEE IF ANY HAVE E TO {LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;MARG-BOTTOM:0.625REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}} SPAN{FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:PALIZE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){ SPAN{FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}{LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-STYLE:NORMAL;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TEXT-STROKE:0.005REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}{LOR:#161616;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;LETTER-SPACG:0.02REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TEXT-STROKE:0.005REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.4;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70003REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}BY {-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:0.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:HER;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:HER;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;}{LOR:#595959;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;}JSIE {DISPLAY:LE-BLOCK;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;MARG-LEFT:0.625REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}PUBLISHED: FEB 11, {DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;}{DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;POSN:RELATIVE;MARG-TOP:0.9375REM;}{BACKGROUND-LOR:#FF3A30;LOR:#000000;BORR:TH SOLID #FF3A30;DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;FLEX-DIRECTN:ROW;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;PADDG:0.625REM 1.25REM;MARG-TOP:0REM;MARG-BOTTOM:0REM;-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:NONE;TEXT-RATN:NONE;TEXT-TRANSFORM:UPPERSE;-WEBK-TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;TRANSN:ALL 0.3S EASE--OUT;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;PADDG-TOP:0.85REM;BACKGROUND:#FF3A30;BORR-RADI:2REM;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-SIZE:0.875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;LETTER-SPACG:0.04REM;WIDTH:TO;}{BACKGROUND-LOR:#FFFFFF;LOR:#000;CURSOR:POTER;BORR:TH SOLID #FF3A30;} SVG{FILL:#000000;} SVG>PATH{FILL:#000000;}{MARG-LEFT:1REM;}{OUTLE:0.125REM DOTTED #000000;OUTLE-OFFSET:0.2REM;} SVG{FILL:#000000;} SVG>PATH{FILL:#000000;}{WIDTH:1REM;HEIGHT:1REM;MARG-RIGHT:0.625REM;} PATH{FILL:#FFFFFF;} PATH{FILL:#FFFFFF;}SAVE {WIDTH:160PX;TEXT-ALIGN:LEFT;LOR:#595959;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;FONT-SIZE:0.70284REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.1;FONT-WEIGHT:NORMAL;LETTER-SPACG:0.045REM;TEXT-TRANSFORM:NONE;}{DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;}{MARG-BOTTOM:0.9375REM;POSN:RELATIVE;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 64REM){{MAX-WIDTH:LC(100VW - 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50VW);}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{MARG:TO;}}{POSN:RELATIVE;HEIGHT:TO;}{POSN:RELATIVE;WIDTH:100%;HEIGHT:100%;OBJECT-F:VER;VERTIL-ALIGN:TOP;}{LE-HEIGHT:1;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 73.75REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0.9375REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0;}}{LOR:#595959;FONT-FAY:LSANNE,LSANNE-FALLBACK,ARIAL,SANS-SERIF;PADDG-RIGHT:0.3125REM;}@MEDIA(MAX-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70028REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.70028REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.2;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{FONT-SIZE:0.75REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.3;}}MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN {FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-SIZE:1.1875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.6;PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;POSN:RELATIVE;}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{PADDG-LEFT:3.5REM;PADDG-RIGHT:3.5REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 61.25REM){{MAX-WIDTH:45.25REM;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 61.25REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 73.75REM) AND (MAX-WIDTH: 100REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 90REM){{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;PADDG-RIGHT:0REM;}} EM{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-STYLE:ALIC;} STRONG{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:BOLD;}{CLEAR:BOTH;NTENT:" ";DISPLAY:BLOCK;FONT-SIZE:0.7REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.5REM;HEIGHT:0REM;VISIBILY:HIDN;}{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-SIZE:1.1875REM;LE-HEIGHT:1.6;} EM{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-STYLE:ALIC;} STRONG{FONT-FAY:CHARTER,GEIA,TIM,SERIF;FONT-WEIGHT:BOLD;}SUPPORT FOR SAME-SEX MARRIAGE ON THE FERAL LEVEL TIPPED TO MAJORY OPN LAST YEAR. THE SHIFT HAS LED TO UNTRYWI POLICY CHANG LIKE ATTORNEY GENERAL ERIC HOLR'S {-WEBK-TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN:UNRLE;TEXT-RATN-THICKNS:.0625REM;TEXT-RATN-LOR:#FF3A30;TEXT-UNRLE-OFFSET:0.25REM;LOR:HER;-WEBK-TRANSN:BACKGROUND 0.4S;TRANSN:BACKGROUND 0.4S;BACKGROUND:LEAR-GRADIENT(#FFFFFF, #FFFFFF 50%, #D5DBE3 50%, #D5DBE3);-WEBK-BACKGROUND-SIZE:100% 200%;BACKGROUND-SIZE:100% 200%;}{LOR:#000000;TEXT-RATN-LOR:BORR-LK-BODY-HOVER;-WEBK-BACKGROUND-POSN:100% 100%;BACKGROUND-POSN:100% 100%;}ANNOUNCEMENT ON SATURDAY THAT THE DEPARTMENT OF JTICE WOULD EXTEND MANY LEGAL RIGHTS TO SAME-SEX SPO, REGARDLS OF WHETHER OR NOT THEY RI A STATE THAT REGNIZ THEIR UNN AS LEGIMATE. BUT THE EVOLUTN OF OUR NATNAL NSCNS HASN'T PREVENTED SOME STNCH NSERVATIV OM PREACHG THE END TIM SHOULD WE ALLOW GAY MARRIAGE TO PASS.IN 2012, RABBI NOSON LEER OF TORAH JEWS FOR DECENCY LLED HURRINE SANDY A "DIVE JTICE" FOR NEW YORK'S MARRIAGE EQUALY ACT. AND ACROSS THE POND, COUNCILLOR DAVID SILVTER OF THE U.K. INPENNCE PARTY RECENTLY WROTE TO HIS LOL NEWSPAPER: "SCE THE PASSAGE OF THE MARRIAGE (SAME-SEX COUPL) ACT, THE NATN HAS BEEN BET BY SER STORMS AND FLOODS." BUT HASN'T JT BEEN THE RISG OF THE WATERS AND THE G OF WDS -- TASTROPHIC PREDICTNS ON HOW SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL AFFECT SOCIETY HAVE RANGED OM LORFULLY MENTED TO SIDLY MUNDANE WH MORE OR LS DUB NNECTNS TO REALY. GIVEN THAT GAY MARRIAGE HAS NOW PASSED 17 STAT AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA OVER THE PAST 10 YEARS, PERHAPS 'S TIME TO TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE PREDICTNS AND SEE IF ANY HAVE E TO UN. (SPOILER ALERT: THE WORLD HASN'T E TO AN END YET.){--DATA-EMBED-DISPLAY:FLEX;-WEBK-ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;-WEBK-BOX-ALIGN:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-ALIGN:CENTER;ALIGN-EMS:CENTER;DISPLAY:-WEBK-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:FLEX;MARG-BOTTOM:0.9375REM;}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 20REM){{CLEAR:BOTH;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;WIDTH:100%;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 30REM){{CLEAR:BOTH;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;WIDTH:100%;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 40.625REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 48REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 64REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 73.75REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 75REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}}@MEDIA(M-WIDTH: 90REM){{WIDTH:50%;MARG-RIGHT:1REM;MARG-LEFT:0REM;FLOAT:LEFT;CLEAR:LEFT;}} A SPAN{RIGHT:1REM;} IMG{WIDTH:TO;HEIGHT:85VH;} A{DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-LE-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:LE-FLEX;POSN:VAR(--POSN, RELATIVE);} IMG:NOT(.EWCW41W1){DISPLAY:BLOCK;WIDTH:100%;HEIGHT:TO;-WEBK-ALIGN-SELF:FLEX-START;-MS-FLEX-EM-ALIGN:FLEX-START;ALIGN-SELF:FLEX-START;}{WIDTH:100%;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-BOX;DISPLAY:-WEBK-LE-FLEX;DISPLAY:-MS-LE-FLEXBOX;DISPLAY:LE-FLEX;-WEBK-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;-MS-FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;FLEX-DIRECTN:LUMN;MARG-LEFT:TO;MARG-RIGHT:TO;-WEBK-BOX-PACK:CENTER;-MS-FLEX-PACK:CENTER;-WEBK-JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;JTIFY-NTENT:CENTER;}{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;}{PADDG-LEFT:0REM;LE-HEIGHT:1;}MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: SEN. TED CZ (R-TEXAS)THE PREDICTION: SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL LEAD TO SOCIALIST LE AND SUPREME LOYALTY TO THE ERNMENT."SOCIALISM REQUIR THAT ERNMENT BE YOUR GOD. THAT'S WHY THEY HAVE TO STROY THE NCEPT OF GOD. THEY HAVE TO STROY ALL LOYALTI EXCEPT LOYALTY TO THE ERNMENT. THAT'S WHAT'S BEHD HOMOSEXUAL MARRIAGE. IT'S REALLY MORE ABOUT THE STCTN OF THE TRADNAL FAY THAN ABOUT EXALTG HOMOSEXUALY, BEE YOU NEED TO STROY, ALSO, LOYALTY TO THE FAY." (2013)AND NOW: DEMOCRATIC EEDOM -- OUR ABILY TO EXIST DISAGREEMENT WHOUT FEAR OF PERSECUTN -- SLOWLY GROWS STRONGER AS THE ERNMENT STOPS TRYG TO DICTATE WHO PEOPLE CHOOSE TO LOVE.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: SEN. RAND PL (R-KY.)THE PREDICTION: WHOUT PRCRIBED SOCIAL BOUNDARI, SOME AMERINS WILL ATTEMPT TO MARRY ANIMALS AND POSSIBLY PLANTS."IF WE HAVE NO LAWS ON THIS PEOPLE TAKE TO ONE EXTENSN FURTHER. DO HAVE TO BE HUMANS?" (2013)AND NOW: REALIZG HIS BLUNR, PL RETRACTED THE QUOTE LATER THAT DAY, SAYG THAT HE BELIEVED MARRIAGE WOULD REMA BETWEEN TWO HUMANS. A MUCH WISER PREDICTN. IN THE PAST 10 YEARS, THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF AMERINS MANDG THE RIGHT TO MARRY AN ANIMAL. NOR HAS THERE HAS BEEN ATTEMPTED LEGISLATN TO FACILATE HUMAN/NON-HUMAN MARRIAG.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: BRIAN BROWN, PRINT OF THE NATNAL ORGANIZATN FOR MARRIAGETHE PREDICTION: SAME-SEX MARRIAGE WILL MAKE THE ENOMY EVEN WORSE."ON TOP OF THE CREDIBLE SOCIAL DAMAGE ED BY REFG MARRIAGE, GAY MARRIAGE WILL PLACE A SIGNIFINT ENOMIC BURN ON STGGLG STAT." (2013)AND NOW: WH THE FIRST YEAR THAT NEW YORK STATE PASSED GAY MARRIAGE, SAME-SEX WEDDGS AND LICENSE FE BOOSTED NEW YORK CY'S ENOMY BY $259 LN. AND LAST YEAR, MORE THAN 60 MAJOR PANI CLUDG APPLE, MAN STANLEY, AND NIKE WROTE AN AMIC BRIEF FOR PROPOSN 8, CLAIMG THAT THE LAW CREATED A DISADVANTAGE FOR PANI STAT WHOUT MARRIAGE EQUALY, BEE BS STGGLED TO REC TOP EMPLOYE WHO DIDN'T WANT TO LIVE STAT WHERE THEY WERE NSIRED SEND-CLASS CIZENS.MEDIA PLATFORMS DIGN TEAMTHE PREDICTOR: FORMER REP. TODD AK (R- MO.)

Although the precise geic mechanisms unrlyg homosexualy are still relatively unknown, we do know that, however the mechanisms actually work, there are ed clear, ntributg geic factors unrlyg homosexual orientatn. The bt evince that homosexualy ns fai as a herable blogil tra om 1990s-era tw studi, which revealed that the nrdance rate (the rate by which tw members overlap on anythg om schizophrenia to creativy to sexual orientatn) for homosexualy is signifintly greater monozygotic tws (intil) than dizygotic tws (who share only half of their gen, jt like non-tw siblgs). The more rigoroly ntrolled tw studi adjt for possible shared environmental fluenc by takg to acunt, for stance, the sexual orientatn of non-tw siblgs or tws separated at birth, and yet all reveal that homosexualy is at least partially herable.

MY 3 GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS HAPPENED TODAY – BY TANA HOY

Homosexualy is often prented as an evolutnary “mystery” bee of the obv reproductive disadvantag, and th for s rearchers have sought some adaptive functn for the culturally recurrent percentage (anywhere om 1 to 10 percent of the populatn, pendg on the measur ed) of the human populatn that is aroed more by the same than is by the oppose sex. Yet if we nsir the historil, and perhaps even the anctral, percentage of the homosexual populatn that did fact reproduce bee of societal proscriptns agast adult relatns wh the same sex, the mystery be nsirably ls profound.

Even societi where homosexualy was tolerated, such as Ancient Greece, men tend to engage perasty wh adolcent boys while matag wiv and fai at home—romantic relatnships wh fellow adults were by ntrast nsired reprehensible. For gay men, a healthy imagatn ( what I’ve discsed before this lumn terms of erotic mental reprentatn) would be all that is need to transform one’s md a female vaga to one’s favore male an or mouth.

Whatever allel are associated wh homosexual orientatn are transmted by the fx heterosexual means, and this is an age-old reproductive cycle that has been occurrg for as long as adult homosexualy has been proscribed by human societi—and by all acunts, such proscriptn has been the speci’ norm.

GAY MARRIAGE PREDICTNS: THEN AND NOW

The cultural velopments are signifint for the homosexual populatn, not only for the obv sake of gag equaly and protectn agast persecutn for an unalterable phenotypic tra, but bee means that the age-old reproductive cycle that has been so central to mixed-orientatn marriag is slowly but surely breakg. This is not to say that lbians and gay men who are now ee to marry the same sex will no longer reproduce—many do, and this trend will ntue wh the advent of new reproductive technologi and creasg societal support (such as surrogacy) for those who sire their own blogil children.

GAY MARRIAGE

But wh the societal expectatn for men and women to bear children unr the roofs of tradnal oppose-sex relatnships obvly lseng, bed wh the hefty fancial sts of reproductive technologi, as well as the stly terpersonal plexi of arrangements such as surrogacy, not to mentn the fact that homosexual activy among same-sex married upl nnot possibly lead to unplanned pregnanci, homosexual reproductn will clearly cle as same-sex marriag ntue to rise. In an evolvg culture of tolerance and wh the available optn of gay marriage, “g out the closet” will occur at younger and younger ag, and fewer young people will therefore feel strong-armed by shame and obligatn to enter to mixed-orientatn marriag to beg wh.

Addnally, wh this creasg societal acceptance of homosexualy, and as a way to circumvent the often surmountable sts associated wh alternative reproductive technologi (at least for gay men) I spect that gay married upl will beg adoptg children wh creasg equency through the support of state-sponsored equaly iativ, effectively puttg a full stop to the transmissn of their gen. For example, fdgs om a 2008 study by Brendan Zietsch and his lleagu of the Queensland Instute of Medil Rearch revealed that the blogil relativ of homosexuals (and therefore those that posss allel lked to homosexualy, but who are themselv heterosexual) are at a reproductive advantage over those whout homosexual relativ.

Zietsch and his lleagu argue, sentially, that while too many or too potent homosexual allel may rult full-blown homosexualy—which, all else beg equal—is disadvantageo to reproductive succs, the same allel a heterosexual relative tend to lead to that person havg more lifetime sexual partners and th greater reproductive succs. The logic here is that sex-atypil tras (for example, men who sre more like femal kdns, empathy, and sensivy, or women who, like men, are more willg to engage unmted sexual relatns) are good but not perfect dic of homosexual orientatn, and when they do occur heterosexual dividuals, they make the people more attractive and or terpersonally appealg to the oppose sex.

WHAT DO THE BIBLE SAY ABOUT GAY MARRIAGE?

But the evolutn of our natnal nscns hasn't prevented some stnch nservativ om preachg the end tim should we allow gay marriage to 2012, Rabbi Noson Leer of Torah Jews for Decency lled Hurrine Sandy a "dive jtice" for New York's Marriage Equaly Act. But aga, the documents and artifacts do not necsarily reflect sexual relatnships, and would be hard to argue that the society wily accepted gay marriage when, as David Halper, profsor of theory and history of human sexualy at the Universy of Michigan, poted out, clared sodomy to be a crime.

They pot out, for stance, that homosexual upl who have been together for years often fd themselv whout the basic rights and privileg that are currently enjoyed by heterosexual upl who legally marry – om the sharg of health and pensn benefs to hospal visatn rights.

Allowg gay and lbian upl to wed, they ntend, will radilly refe marriage and further weaken at a time when the stutn is already ser trouble due to high divorce rat and a signifint number of out-of-wedlock births. The Catholic Church and many evangelil Christian groups have played a leadg role public opposn to gay marriage, while male Prottant church and other relig groups wrtle wh whether to orda gay clergy and perform same-sex weddg ceremoni. Ined, the ordatn and marriage of gay persons has been a growg wedge between the socially liberal and nservative wgs of the Epispal, Lutheran and Prbyterian church, leadg some nservative ngregatns and even whole dc to break away om their natnal church.

TRIBE OFFERS PREDICTNS ON GAY MARRIAGE LGS

For stance, 2004, jt months after Massachetts beme the first state to allow gay marriage, a jot survey by the Pew Rearch Center’s Fom on Relign & Public Life and the Pew Rearch Center for the People & the Prs found that about twice as many Amerins opposed legalizg same-sex marriage (60%) as supported (29%).

RSIAN NSTUTN CHANGE ENDS HOP FOR GAY MARRIAGE

More recently, an April 2009 survey by the Pew Rearch Center for the People & the Prs found that opposn to legalizg same-sex marriage stood at 54%, wh 35% supportg the right of gays and lbians to wed.

BEWARE THE EARLY PREDICTNS SUPREME COURT GAY MARRIAGE CASSAME-SEX CASESAFTER THE OBAMARE BACLE, DON’T READ TOO MUCH TO THE GAY MARRIAGE ORAL ARGUMENTS, WARNS ADAM WKLER.ADAM WKLERUPDATED JUL. 12, 2017 12:17AM EDT / PUBLISHED MAR. 26, 2013 5:45AM EDT NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/GETTYIN ARTHURIAN LEGEND, THE SORCERS MAN LE FAY LURED SAILORS TO THEIR ATH BY G MAGIC TO CREATE FALSE YET ALLURG IMAG OF FAIRY STL OUT AT SEA. SHE WAS SAID TO BE PABLE OF ENTICG EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SHIP PTA TO VEER OM HIS URSE AND MEET AN UNTIMELY END. HER MIRAG OFFER A VALUABLE LSON FOR PROGNOSTITORS AND LEGAL MENTATORS WEIGHG EVERY WORD SPOKEN BY THE JTIC THE SUPREME COURT HEARGS OVER GAY MARRIAGE THIS WEEK. ORAL ARGUMENT N BE A WDOW TO THE URT AND S LIBERATNS. JTIC HOSTILE TO A LAWYER’S ARGUMENT OFTEN REVEAL THEIR DISAGREEMENT THROUGH PERATG—SOMETIM VASTATG—QUTNS, WHILE A IENDLY JTICE N OFFER A STGGLG ADVOTE A HELPG HAND. COURT WATCHERS EAGER TO GET AN EARLY LEAD ON HOW THE JTIC WILL CI THE MOST IMPORTANT QUTNS OF THE DAY LOOK TO THE HTS, ANALYZG EACH CHANGE TONE AND EXPRSN OF TRATN.EVEN BEFORE THE BEGNG OF THE MARRIAGE HEARGS, PEOPLE HAVE BEEN READG THE CLU. ON MONDAY, REPORTS CIRCULATED THAT THE LBIAN OF CHIEF JTICE JOHN ROBERTS WAS ATTENDG ONE OF THE ARGUMENTS AS HIS GUT. WAS THIS IS A SIGN THAT ROBERTS WILL LE FAVOR OF GAY RIGHTS? THE WAS HOPEFUL: “I BELIEVE HE SE WHERE THE TI IS GOG,” SHE SAID. “I ABSOLUTELY TST THAT HE WILL GO A GOOD DIRECTN.”THE PUBLIC UALLY LOOKS TO EXPERTS FOR SUCH GLIMPS OF THE FUTURE. THE PHENOMENON IS HARDLY UNIQUE TO HIGH-PROFILE S. ESPN THRIV AS THE WELLSPRG OF PREDICTNS FOR HOW TODAY’S BIG SPORTG EVENT WILL TURN OUT. FROM THE SUPREME COURT TO THE SUPER BOWL, EVERYONE WANTS TO KNOW WHAT’S GOG TO HAPPEN; FOR MANY, ’S EVEN MORE IMPORTANT THAN WATCHG THE GAME SELF. YET UNLIKE A SPORTG EVENT, WHOSE OUTE IS OPEN FOR ALL TO SEE THE MOMENT THE GAME IS OVER, SUPREME COURT ARGUMENTS NCLU WH NO EDIFITN. THE JTIC WILL RETIRE BEHD THE RED VELVET CURTA AND ST THEIR VOT SECRET, THOUGH EVEN THEN THE OUTE IS UNCERTA. JTIC ARE ALLOWED TO CHANGE THEIR VOT ANYTIME BEFORE THE WRTEN OPN THE SE IS RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC—AND THEY OFTEN DO. THE URT’S SWG JTICE, ANTHONY KENNEDY, ONCE VOTED TO EFFECTIVELY OVERTURN ROE V. WA BEFORE CHANGG HIS VOTE AND SAVG THAT LANDMARK CISN ON WOMEN’S RIGHTS. GAY MARRIAGE IS A SIAR TYPE OF ISSUE: HOTLY NTROVERSIAL, PROFOUNDLY NTTED, AND ONE THAT MAY SHAPE A JTICE’S LEGACY.BEE THE SUPREME COURT IS THE TIGHTT SHIP TOWN—LEAKS ARE NEARLY UNHEARD OF, PECIALLY BEFORE A CISN IS OFFICIALLY HAND DOWN—ANYONE WANTG TO KNOW HOW THE URT WILL LE HAS LTLE MORE THAN ORAL ARGUMENT TO RELY UPON. YET ORAL ARGUMENT THE SUPREME COURT N BE AS MISLEADG AS THE SORCERS’S MIRAGE. LIKE A SAILOR SURROUND BY THE VAST EMPTS OF THE SEA, URT WATCHERS MAY FD THEIR SIRE TO KNOW HAS LED THEM A PERILO DIRECTN. ONE NEED ONLY ASK NOTED SUPREME COURT EXPERT JEFEY TOOB.IT WAS A YEAR AGO THIS WEEK THAT THE JTIC HEARD ARGUMENTS OVER THE NSTUTNALY OF OBAMARE, THE LAST TIME THE PUBLIC WAS HANGG ON EVERY WORD UTTERED THE HALLOWED SUPREME COURT. SOLICOR GENERAL DONALD VERRILLI, FENDG THE HEALTH-RE LAW, STGGLED WH HIS OPENG REMARKS AND, MANY WAYS, HIS PRENTATN SEEMED TO GO DOWNHILL OM THERE. JTICE AFTER JTICE ASKED QUTNS THAT SUGGTED THEY DIDN’T AGREE WH VERRILLI’S ARGUMENTS. TOOB WENT ON CNN AND PREDICTED THAT OBAMARE WOULD BE VALIDATED. “THIS WAS A TRA WRECK FOR THE OBAMA ADMISTRATN,” TOOB SAID. THE LAW, HE SAID, WAS “GRAVE, GRAVE TROUBLE.”WE ALL KNOW HOW THAT SE ME OUT.IN FAIRNS TO TOOB, HIS NCLN WAS BASED ON THE STATEMENTS AND QUTNS OF THE JTIC THEMSELV. A MAJORY OF THEM DID APPEAR TO BE LED UP AGAST OBAMARE AND SKEPTIL OF THE SOLICOR GENERAL’S CLAIMS. GIVEN THE EVINCE AT HAND, TOOB’S PREDICTN WAS A PERFECTLY REASONABLE ONE. PREDICTNS ON INTRA AGREED WH TOOB, AND UP TO 80 PERCENT WERE BETTG THE LAW WOULD BE STCK DOWN.THAT’S EXACTLY WHY WE SHOULD BE UT PREDICTG HOW THE URT WILL LE BASED ON ORAL ARGUMENT. THE JTIC ARE NOT PERFORMG FOR THE PUBLIC, AND SIGNALG TO THE PUBLIC HOW THEY WILL LE IS FURTHT OM THEIR MDS. THEY ARE ENGAGED A TAILED TELLECTUAL EXPLORATN OF OFTEN AMBIGUO LAW, ALG WH THE MOST PLITED ISSU. INED, THEY MAY BE TRYG TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO LE THEMSELV, SEARCHG FOR AN ANSWER RATHER THAN RMG THE ADVOT OF THEIR ALREADY MA-UP MDS.ON THE ONE HAND, SUPREME COURT PREDICTNS MAY JT BE A HARMLS LAWYER’S PASTIME. THE PREDICTNS DON’T AFFECT THE JTIC THEMSELV, AND THE LIGANTS WHO ULTIMATELY W DON’T RECEIVE ANY LS A REMEDY. YET THERE N BE ADVERSE NSEQUENC. THE FACT THAT SO MANY EXPERTS LIKE TOOB WERE SAYG OBAMARE WAS GOG DOWN PROBABLY HELPED SPUR CNN AND FOX NEWS TO JUMP THE GUN ON THE DAY THE CISN WAS FALLY ANNOUNCED—WH EMBARRASSG RULTS.SO AS WE READ ABOUT THE SUPREME COURT’S HEARGS THE GAY MARRIAGE S THIS WEEK, BEWARE OF BEG LED ASTRAY BY THE EVABLE MENTARY PICKG APART THE JTIC’ EVERY WORD. STILL, LIKE THE SAILORS SAID TO FALL FOR MAN LE FAY’S MIRAG, WE MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO HELP OURSELV. ADAM WKLER

The spark that started the bate occurred Hawaii 1993, when the Hawaii Supreme Court led that an existg law banng same-sex marriage would be unnstutnal unls the state ernment uld show that had a pellg reason for discrimatg agast gay and lbian upl. To beg wh, the marriage licens issued to gay upl outsi Massachetts were later nullified, sce none of the mayors and other lol officials volved had the thory to grant marriage licens to same-sex upl.

Most of the stat that have approved nstutnal amendments banng gay marriage are the more socially nservative South and Midwt, although, as noted, voters a more socially liberal state, California, narrowly approved a ban 2008. While battl have been ragg many stat over whether to accept or ban same-sex marriage, a number of stat have enacted laws that tablish civil unns or domtic partnerships, both of which aim to give gay and lbian upl many or most of the rights and rponsibili of matrimony whout actually grantg them the right to wed. Opponents of same-sex marriage note that whenever voters have had an opportuny to weigh on the issue – even a more socially liberal state such as California – they almost always vote agast gay marriage.